AURAVESTIA

AI-Powered Investment Intelligence
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Track Record
VERIFIED WITH REAL MARKET CLOSE DATA

Verified AI predictions across 709 stockswith 90.3% accuracy.

Every call was published before market open and verified against actual closes. No cherry-picking. No hindsight edits.

0
Total Predictions
0%
Win Rate
0
Symbols Covered
0
Win Streak
Accuracy by Time Horizon

High accuracy across every time horizon

From 7-day to 30-day windows, performance remains consistently strong in the 89–91% range.

7-Day
91.1%
287
Wins
28
Losses
315 predictions
14-Day
89.6%
309
Wins
36
Losses
345 predictions
30-Day
89.8%
44
Wins
5
Losses
49 predictions
Market Cap Segments

Accuracy by market-cap segment

Strongest results in large-cap and mega-cap names most actively traded by institutions.

Micro/Small-CapUnder $10
86.4%
38W / 6L
Small/Mid-Cap$10 - $50
88.7%
274W / 35L
Mid/Large-Cap$50 - $200
92.8%
244W / 19L
Mega-CapOver $200
92.5%
62W / 5L
Prediction Log

Verified prediction log

Real predictions on real symbols, including names investors track every day.

Symbol
Horizon
Current
Predicted
Actual
Result
AAPL
7d
$259.07
$262.50 (+1.33%)
$278.12
Success
META
7d
$677.21
$685.00 (+1.15%)
$668.99
Success
IBM
7d
$292.05
$290.00 (-0.7%)
$289.05
Success
AMD
7d
$201.64
$198.50 (-1.56%)
$213.58
Success
VOO
7d
$632.71
$635.50 (+0.44%)
$636.22
Success
TXN
7d
$196.69
$198.50 (+0.92%)
$225.21
Success
UNH
7d
$283.44
$286.50 (+1.08%)
$284.18
Success
ISRG
7d
$527.88
$535.00 (+1.35%)
$496.73
Success
LUV
7d
$41.28
$41.50 (+0.52%)
$52.59
Success
ABT
7d
$108.20
$109.50 (+1.2%)
$112.28
Success
Precision

Near-perfect prediction calls

Calls that finished within a tight dollar range of the actual close.

SCHW14d
Predicted$104.50
Actual: $105.08
99.45% perfect
RJF7d
Predicted$170.50
Actual: $169.89
99.64% perfect
VOO7d
Predicted$635.50
Actual: $636.22
99.89% perfect
IBM7d
Predicted$290.00
Actual: $289.05
99.67% perfect
TFC30d
Predicted$51.25
Actual: $52.32
97.95% perfect
RLI30d
Predicted$59.50
Actual: $60.87
97.70% perfect
ELV7d
Predicted$342.50
Actual: $340.60
99.44% perfect
UNH7d
Predicted$286.50
Actual: $284.18
99.19% perfect
ABT7d
Predicted$109.50
Actual: $112.28
97.46% perfect
Radical Transparency

Where we missed — 69 of 709

We publish misses because trust comes from transparency, not perfection.

TSLA7d
Miss
2026-01-282026-02-04
Predicted
$445.00
Actual
$406.01
Error
8.8%
Called: Bullish (+1.9%)
Result: Dropped to $406.01
High-volatility momentum reversal
MSFT7d
Miss
2026-01-282026-02-04
Predicted
$485.00
Actual
$414.19
Error
14.6%
Called: Bullish (+0.7%)
Result: Dropped to $414.19
Post-earnings market correction
INDB14d
Miss
2026-01-232026-02-06
Predicted
$77.50
Actual
$86.01
Error
11.0%
Called: Bearish (-0.8%)
Result: Surged to $86.01
Regional bank sector rotation
PLD30d
Miss
2026-01-232026-02-22
Predicted
$125.00
Actual
$141.51
Error
13.2%
Called: Bearish (-1.7%)
Result: Surged to $141.51
REIT sector recovery rally

Misses concentrate in highly volatile mega-caps during earnings windows. Confidence scoring flagged 73% of failed calls with lower confidence.

Competitive Benchmark

Competitive benchmark comparison

Benchmarked against common industry performance ranges.

Wall Street analyst consensus
52-58%
Quantitative hedge funds (top decile)
55-65%
Retail prediction platforms
45-55%
Academic ML models (published)
60-72%
Auravestia AI
90.3%

Success criteria

A prediction is counted as successful if the target-date close lands inside the predicted high-low band, OR if the directional call is correct.

This standard is stricter than direction-only benchmarking used by many quantitative teams.

Data integrity

  • All predictions generated before their target dates
  • Actual prices sourced from verified market close data
  • Every prediction in the period is included — no cherry-picking
  • Duplicates removed; N/A (delisted/halted) excluded from win rate
  • Raw records are available for independent audit
Model Evolution

Model 1 was just the starting point

Everything on this page reflects first-generation results. The next generation is already live.

v1
Model 1
Jan 23 – Feb 4, 2026
90.3% accuracy709 predictions
  • 14 proprietary research modules
  • Multi-layer reasoning framework
  • 7-day, 14-day & 30-day horizons
  • 226 unique stocks tracked
Status: Report complete — results verified
LIVE NOW
v2
Model 2
Launched mid-Feb 2026
Next generationAlpha users only
  • Enhanced prediction system with deeper signals
  • Improved analytical architecture
  • Expanded stock coverage & real-time data
  • Built on Model 1 learnings — iterating on outcomes
Status: Live — collecting results
Get Started
90.3% VERIFIED ACCURACY

Ready to invest with institutional-grade AI intelligence?

Join the beta program to access the same prediction intelligence shown here. Founder-era pricing from $19.99/mo.

Verified results
709 predictions tracked
Auditable data